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Endocrine Reviews 20 (3): 253-278
Copyright © 1999 by The Endocrine Society

Tamoxifen, Raloxifene, and the Prevention of Breast Cancer1

V. Craig Jordan and Monica Morrow

Departments of Molecular Pharmacology, Biological Chemistry (V.C.J.), and Surgery (M.M.), Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Medical School, Chicago, Illinois 60611


    Abstract
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 

I. Introduction
II. Lacassagne’s Prevention Principle: A Target and an Estrogen Antagonist
III. Tamoxifen as an Antitumor Agent
A. ER status and the duration of tamoxifen
B. Contralateral breast cancer
C. Endometrial cancer
D. Conclusions
IV. Selective Estrogen Receptor Modulation
A. Antiestrogen activity at the ER
B. Coactivators for ER
C. Alternate response elements on DNA
D. An alternate ER-ERß
V. Biological Basis for Tamoxifen as a Breast Cancer Preventive
A. Animal models
B. Bones
C. Lipids
D. Uterus
VI. Risk Factors for Breast Cancer
A. Interactions among risk factors
B. Identification of candidates for chemoprevention
VII. Prevention of Breast Cancer with Tamoxifen
A. Royal Marsden Pilot Study
B. NSABP/NCI Study
C. Italian study
D. Conclusions
VIII. Biological Basis for Raloxifene as a Breast Cancer Preventive
A. Antitumor actions
B. Bones
C. Lipids
D. Uterus
IX. Study of Tamoxifen And Raloxifene (STAR)
X. The Future of Prevention


    I. Introduction
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
IN 1896, George Beatson demonstrated that the removal of the ovaries from premenopausal women with metastatic breast cancer could, in some cases, cause regression of the disease and improve the prognosis of the patient (1). However, by 1900 Stanley Boyd had established that only one in three patients would obtain improvement for about 1 yr (2). Despite this disappointment, a link was established between an ovarian factor and the growth of some breast cancers. This observation was to become the foundation of modern clinical practice and the rationale for the use of antiestrogens to treat breast cancer (3, 4). At the turn of the century, studies were being conducted in the laboratory to complement the clinical effort. Inbred strains of mice were being established for medical research, and it was found that certain strains of mice developed a high incidence of mammary tumors. Lathrop and Loeb (5) reported that an early ovariectomy could prevent the spontaneous development of tumors but it was not until Allen and Doisey (6) identified "estrus stimulating principle" that ovarian hormones could be linked to the development of breast cancer. By 1936, Professor Antoine Lacassagne, again working with high-incidence strains of mice, suggested that if breast cancer was caused by a special hereditary sensitivity to estrogen, then the disease could be prevented by developing a therapeutic antagonist to estrogen action in the breast (7). However, there were no therapeutic antagonists of estrogen at that time, nor was there a target to design drug molecules. Nevertheless, exciting developments in the discovery of nonsteroidal estrogens would establish the structural basis of carrier molecules, which resulted in the design of the two drugs, tamoxifen and raloxifene (Fig. 1Go), both originally described as antiestrogens and used today in a clinical trial to prevent breast cancer in high-risk women (see Section IX).



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Figure 1. The discovery of MER-25, and the knowledge that a strategically placed alkylaminoethoxy side chain confers antiestrogenic properties, was important to develop the antiestrogens tamoxifen and raloxifene from the known nonsteroidal estrogens, triphenylethylene and diethylstilbestrol. Tamoxifen is used for the endocrine treatment of all stages of breast cancer and is available for the reduction of breast cancer incidence in high-risk women. Raloxifene is used for the prevention of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women, but because a preliminary evaluation shows a reduction in the risk of breast cancer, raloxifene is to be evaluated for the prevention of breast cancer in high-risk postmenopausal women. The clinical trial STAR started to recruit the 22,000 volunteers in 1999.

 
Estrogen action in the 1930s was assayed using ovariectomized mice as originally described by Allen and Doisy (6). Using this technique, parallel research ventures resulted in the discovery of the triphenylethylene-based estrogens (8, 9, 10) and the stilbene-based estrogens (Fig. 1Go). The triphenylethylenes are long acting and are stored in body fat (11, 12, 13, 14), whereas the hydroxystilbene derivatives are short acting (9, 15, 16), primarily because of rapid-phase II metabolism after absorption. However, Dodds and associates (17, 18) described an extremely potent compound, diethylstilbestrol (Fig. 1Go), that was widely used in gynecology and also subsequently used, at high doses, as a treatment for advanced breast cancer in postmenopausal women (19, 20).

In the 1950s and 1960s it became clear that adrenalectomy, with glucocorticoid support, could also improve the prognosis of some postmenopausal women with advanced breast cancer (21). In fact, about one third of the women responded, i.e., about the same proportion as premenopausal women after oophorectomy. The reason for the apparently arbitrary responses, however, would not become clear until the discovery of the estrogen receptor (ER) by Jensen and Jacobson (22) and the subsequent application of this knowledge to predict the hormone responsiveness of a patient’s tumor to endocrine ablation (23). This was an extremely important finding because it prevented those patients who had an ER-negative tumor from having additional major surgery with little hope of a response. Only patients whose tumors had high levels of ER were likely to respond to endocrine ablative surgery (24). It is important, however, to stress that in the early 1970s, there was no significant clinical experience available with the class of drugs called antiestrogens, and no large clinical studies had linked the efficacy of antiestrogens with the presence or absence of the ER. Several antiestrogens had been tested in small clinical studies, but tamoxifen, the first clinically useful antiestrogen for the treatment of advanced breast cancer in postmenopausal women, was not approved by the Food and Drug Administration in the United States until 1977 (25).

Although antiestrogens are important therapeutic agents today, 40 yr ago there was very little interest in treating breast cancer with new hormonal drugs, and most of the research in endocrinology was focused on an understanding of reproduction. The discovery of the nonsteroidal antiestrogens was serendipitous and resulted from an interest in contraception in the 1950s. The first nonsteroidal antiestrogen to be reported in the literature, MER25 (Fig. 1Go), was described by Lerner and co-workers in 1958 (26) as an agent that had no other hormonal or antihormonal properties in any species tested. In fact, it was a blocking drug for estrogen action with almost no estrogenic properties. The drug failed in clinical trial because large doses were required (MER25 has low potency), which caused serious central nervous system side effects (27). On one hand this was disappointing but, it must be stressed, that a pure antiestrogen such as MER25 would ultimately have been catastrophic as an agent to prevent breast cancer. Drug discovery switched to the triphenylethylene-based compounds that resulted first in clomiphene and then tamoxifen (25). Subsequently, drug discovery concentrated on compounds with a high affinity for ER (25). Only a research focus on cancer in the 1970s facilitated tamoxifen’s development as a breast cancer therapy for all stages of the disease (25).

The critical property of the so called "antiestrogens," which permitted their subsequent development as long-term preventives for breast cancer, was that they are antiestrogens at some sites, like the breast, but had estrogen-like properties at other sites to maintain bone density and lower circulating cholesterol (28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35). The unusual target site-specific action as an estrogen or as an antiestrogen was true for both tamoxifen and raloxifene (29, 30). Lacassagne’s prediction (7) of developing an antagonist to estrogen action to prevent breast cancer in healthy women would not have occurred if the available drugs had increased the risk of osteoporosis and coronary heart disease.

The goal of this review is to provide an up-to-date analysis of the current status of efforts to prevent breast cancer in women by the strategic use of antiestrogens. One aim of our review is to identify the principles, established in the laboratory, that have, through the clinical trial process, proven to be valid in patients with breast cancer or women at risk for breast cancer. The review will also provide the scientific basis for the ongoing trial called Study of Tamoxifen And Raloxifene (STAR). This trial is examining the worth of raloxifene, a drug approved for the prevention of osteoporosis, to prevent breast cancer in postmenopausal women with elevated risk factors. The biological basis for consideration of the antiestrogen raloxifene to be used as a breast cancer preventive is described in Section VIII. In the interests of space it is not possible to review the antiestrogen literature exhaustively, but we intend to provide sufficient background to link laboratory research with clinical results.


    II. Lacassagne’s Prevention Principle: A Target and an Estrogen Antagonist
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
In 1962, Jensen and Jacobson (22) demonstrated that [3H]estradiol bound to and was retained by estrogen target tissue, e.g., uterus, vagina, and pituitary gland, in the immature female rat. By contrast, tissues that did not respond to estrogen did not retain [3H]estradiol. Jensen proposed that an ER must be present in estrogen target tissues to capture circulating steroids and initiate the cascade of biochemical events associated with estrogen action in that particular tissue. Gorski and co-workers (36, 37) first identified the ER as an extractable protein from rat uterus. Subsequently, the groups of Gorski et al. (38) and Jensen et al. (39) independently proposed subcellular models of estrogen action in target tissues. However, Jensen and associates (23) took the process one step further by proposing the clinical ER assay to predict hormone-responsive breast cancer. Thus, a mechanistic link between estrogen action and the growth of breast cancer was established.

The MCF-7 breast cancer cell line is ER positive (40, 41), and the cells have found ubiquitous applications in cancer research laboratories throughout the world (42). Most importantly, access to these cells has resulted in a fundamental change in the understanding of hormone action that has resulted in the discovery of the steroid receptor superfamily of receptors (43, 44). Jensen and co-workers (45, 46) first developed monoclonal antibodies to ER derived from MCF-7 cells. The antibodies were used to establish that the ER was a nuclear protein (47), and the technology of immunocytochemistry is now standard for the determination of receptor status in breast biopsies (48, 49). However, the application of monoclonal antibodies as probes to clone and sequence the ER gene (50, 51, 52) is of fundamental significance for the understanding of the ER as a nuclear transcription factor.

The ER is a nuclear protein (47, 53, 54), which, for convenience, is subdivided into six functional domains (Fig. 2Go) (55, 56). The E regions make up the steroid-binding domain that undergoes a conformation change to lock estradiol into its hydrophobic pocket (see Section IV.A). Changes in conformation of the ER permits the binding of coactivators to the activating function 1 and 2 regions (AF-1 and 2) (57, 58, 59) and facilitates the interaction of the ER with DNA through the DNA-binding domain (C region) (60, 61). The transcription unit is selectively located as a homodimer in the promoter region of estrogen-responsive genes to initiate the events associated with estrogen-stimulated cell replication. Unfortunately, it is not possible to provide much more than the basic concepts in hormone action because our article is focused on progress in breast cancer chemoprevention. The topic of gene regulation is a rapidly evolving story, so we strongly recommend that interested readers consult recently published reviews that provide further information (62, 63, 64).



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Figure 2. A subcellular model of estradiol (E2) action in a target tissue. Estradiol diffuses into all cells but binds to the ER specifically located in estrogen target tissues (e.g., uterus, vagina, some breast cancers, etc.). The steroid receptor complex undergoes a conformational change and dimerizes before binding to an estrogen response element (ERE) in the promotor region of an estrogen-responsive gene. A transcription unit is formed by interaction with coactivator (CoA) molecules to initiate RNA synthesis and ultimately the estrogen-stimulated cellular response. Corepressor (CoR) modules are believed to prevent transcription by exclusively interacting with antiestrogen ER complexes. The ER is divided into six regions (A–F). The DNA-binding domain (C) is essential for the interaction of the ER with the ERE. The ligand-binding domain (E) is the site of E2 binding and the site of competitive binding by antiestrogens. The AA351 is identified in the E region because it is the known site of an interaction with the alkylaminoethoxy side chain of raloxifene. The activating function (AF-1 and -2) regions are the areas of the ER that interact with coactivators to form the transcription unit at an estrogen-responsive gene.

 
The second facet of Lacassagne’s hypothesis is the requirement for an antiestrogen to block estrogen action. Tamoxifen blocks the binding of [3H]estradiol to the ER derived from rat uterus (65, 66, 67, 68) or human tumor (69, 70). However, initial clinical studies with tamoxifen were conducted exclusively on unselected populations of postmenopausal women with advanced breast cancer (3, 4), and not until 1977 was it noted that tamoxifen was more likely to be effective in ER-positive breast cancer (71). Tamoxifen is currently used as a palliative therapy in the treatment of pre- and postmenopausal patients with ER-positive advanced (Stage IV) breast cancer. By contrast, the application of the concept of adjuvant therapy has revolutionized the treatment of breast cancer. Systemic adjuvant therapy is used after breast surgery to destroy undetected micrometastases around a woman’s body.

Adjuvant studies with tamoxifen have proved to be successful in increasing survival (72, 73, 74) but, perhaps most importantly, the interaction between laboratory and clinical research endeavors has ultimately elucidated both the principal mechanism of action of tamoxifen as an antitumor agent in women and identified those women most likely to benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen treatment. During the past 12 yr there has been some confusion in the literature about whether tamoxifen was active in ER-positive breast cancer exclusively or whether ER-negative breast cancer could respond (75, 76, 77). Additionally, there was controversy as to whether tamoxifen was significantly active as an adjuvant in premenopausal women (78). The reader is referred to recent reviews on the clinical investigation and development of tamoxifen (79, 80, 81, 82, 83) for further information, but we will summarize the latest findings of the world-wide randomized clinical trials (84). It is important to appreciate that the general principles derived from the use of tamoxifen as a therapy for breast cancer can be used as a basis for consideration of tamoxifen as a estrogen antagonist for the prevention of breast cancer.


    III. Tamoxifen as an Antitumor Agent
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
The 1998 Oxford Overview Analysis (84) involved any randomized trial that began before 1990. The analysis included 55 trials of adjuvant tamoxifen vs. no tamoxifen before recurrence. The study population comprised 37,000 women with node-positive and node-negative breast cancer, thus comprising 87% of world evidence of known randomized clinical trials. Of these women, fewer than 8,000 had a very low or zero level of ER and 18,000 were classified as ER positive. The ER status of the remaining nearly 12,000 women was unknown, but based on the normal distribution of ER in random populations, the authors estimated that two-thirds would be ER positive.

This clinical trial data base (84) can now be used to answer the questions raised over the past two decades by laboratory results and hypotheses. In the 1970s three laboratory observations emerged that merited evaluation in clinical trial: 1) tamoxifen blocks estrogen binding to the ER, making patients with ER-positive disease more likely to respond than those with ER-negative disease (85), 2) tamoxifen prevents mammary cancer in rats (86, 87) so the drug could reduce the incidence of primary breast cancer, and 3) long-term treatment was better than short-term treatment to prevent rat mammary carcinogenesis; therefore, longer adjuvant therapy with tamoxifen should be superior to short-term adjuvant therapy (88, 89, 90), i.e., 5 yr of tamoxifen should be superior to 1 yr of tamoxifen. By the late 1980s, tamoxifen had been shown in the laboratory to block estrogen-stimulated breast tumor growth but to encourage the growth of human endometrial cancer implanted in the same athymic mouse (91, 92). The clinical question therefore became "are patients, who are receiving long-term adjuvant tamoxifen therapy, at risk for an increased incidence of endometrial cancer?" (92).

The process of evaluating the impact of translational research is important to establish what works and achieves clinical progress and what does not. A clinical trial should not begin without a strong hypothesis and the incorporation of relevant scientific results. For convenience, the discussion in this section will be subdivided, but the end points of duration of tamoxifen usage, menopausal status, and ER status interact, making the size of a pharmacological effect subject to change.

A. ER status and the duration of tamoxifen
The ER status of the patient is highly predictive of a treatment response to long-term tamoxifen therapy. The treatment effect, based on receptor status, is summarized in Table 1Go. The recurrence reductions produced by tamoxifen in ER-positive patients are all highly significant (2P < 0.00001), and the trend between the different durations of tamoxifen is also highly significant ({chi}2 = 45.5, 2P < 0.00001). By contrast, the therapeutic effect of tamoxifen on ER-negative patients is minimal. Additionally, the questions could be asked, "Does more ER give a better response to tamoxifen?" and "Does an additional progesterone receptor (PgR) assay help to improve the results with tamoxifen?" In the trials of about 5 yr of tamoxifen treatment, the proportional reductions of recurrence were 43 ± 5% and 60 ± 6% for patients with below or above 100 fmol/mg cytosol ER protein. This translated to a reduction in mortality of 23 ± 6% and 36 ± 7%, respectively. Clearly, one can conclude the ER is a powerful predictor of tamoxifen response, a conclusion consistent with tamoxifen’s proven mechanism of action as an estrogen antagonist in breast cancer (82). Although PgR-positive status might be thought to be of benefit, these data show that there was little additional value if the tumor was already ER positive. A comparison of interactions is shown in Table 2Go. A comparison of the 2,000 women who had ER-positive and PgR-negative tumors and the 7,000 women who had ER-positive and PgR-positive tumors shows there was no apparent difference in the effect of tamoxifen on either the recurrence rates or mortality rates. Additionally, the numbers were too few (602 women) in the Overview Analysis (84) to allow a meaningful prediction of the benefits of tamoxifen in patients who had an ER-negative but PgR-positive tumor.


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Table 1. A comparison of the proportional risk reduction of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy based on ER status

 

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Table 2. A comparison of the proportional risk reduction of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy based on PgR status in populations of ER-positive patients

 
The Overview Analysis also provides unequivocal proof of the laboratory principle (88, 89, 90) that longer adjuvant tamoxifen therapy was predicted to provide more benefit. The duration of therapy is extremely important for the ER-positive premenopausal woman with large amounts of circulating estrogen that can rapidly reverse the effect of short-term tamoxifen treatment. The effect of the duration of tamoxifen treatment on the reduction of recurrence rates and the reduction of death rates is shown in Fig. 3Go. The duration of tamoxifen therapy is critical for the premenopausal patient: the effect of 1 yr of treatment is virtually nonexistent compared with the benefit of 5 yr of treatment. It is also important to point out that the reduction of death rates in women under 50 yr of age and over 60 yr of age treated with 5 yr of tamoxifen is identical, at around 33% (Table 3Go). By contrast, the effect of tamoxifen duration on women over the age of 60 is less dramatic because 1 yr of tamoxifen is much more effective in postmenopausal women. These data are illustrated in Table 3Go, which shows a 2- to 3-fold increase in the effectiveness of tamoxifen when the duration is increased from 1 to 5 yr, whereas there is a 20-fold increase in tamoxifen’s effectiveness for premenopausal women with an increased duration of 1–5 yr (Fig. 3Go).



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Figure 3. The relationship between the duration of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy in ER-positive premenopausal patients and the reduction in recurrence and death rate. A longer duration of treatment has a dramatic effective on patient survival. [Derived from Ref. 84.]

 

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Table 3. Proportional risk reductions in 60- to 69-yr-old breast cancer patients when the known ER-poor patients are excluded

 
B. Contralateral breast cancer
Tamoxifen consistently reduces the risk of contralateral breast cancer (i.e., a second primary breast cancer in the other breast) independent of age (84). Women have a proportional risk reduction that is 27 ± 11% or 31 ± 7% if they are below or above the age of 50, respectively. The principle "longer is better" is also true for the reduction of risk for contralateral breast cancer with adjuvant tamoxifen therapy. Five years is better then 2 yr or 1 yr of adjuvant therapy with tamoxifen (Fig. 4Go). In fact, 1 yr of adjuvant tamoxifen does not significantly reduce the incidence of contralateral breast cancer compared with control because the SD is so large (13 ± 13% reduction compared with control).



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Figure 4. The relationship between the duration of adjuvant tamoxifen and the reduction in contralateral breast cancer. A longer duration is clearly superior, and the 5-yr result that produces a 47% reduction in contralateral breast cancer is equivalent to the result observed in the tamoxifen prevention trial presented in Fig. 9Go. [Derived from Ref. 84.]

 
It is interesting to note that a quarter of the women allocated to the known adjuvant trials in the Overview Analysis (84) were Japanese, who have an annual incidence of contralateral breast cancer in patients not receiving tamoxifen of 2 per 1,000 compared with 6 per 1,000 elsewhere in the world. Therefore, if 5 yr of tamoxifen therapy can halve contralateral breast cancer, then the absolute benefit for Japanese women would be 1 per 1,000 and 3 per 1,000 elsewhere for both young and old women. Finally, the proportional reduction in contralateral breast cancer appears to be similar in women whose initial tumor being treated with tamoxifen was ER-poor (29 ± 15%) compared with the rest of the study population (30 ± 6%). This is an important result for the potential application of tamoxifen for the reduction of contralateral breast cancer in the woman with a primary breast cancer that is unequivocally ER negative.

C. Endometrial cancer
The overall increase in the incidence of endometrial cancer in the Overview Analysis was 2- to 3-fold (84). There was no association with dose, i.e., 20 mg and 30–40 mg daily produced relative risk (RR) ratios of 2.7 and 2.4, respectively. However, there was a suggestion that 1 and 2 yr of tamoxifen doubled the incidence of endometrial cancer and 5 yr quadrupled the incidence. However, the side effect is so rare (i.e., the numbers are too small) that the risk ratios are not significantly different from one another for each duration of tamoxifen. It is important, however, to state that the absolute increase in endometrial cancer was only half as big as the absolute decrease in contralateral breast cancer.

The Overview Analysis was able to identify 3,673 women who took 5 yr of adjuvant tamoxifen. With 26,400 woman years of follow-up before breast cancer recurrence in this group, there were seven endometrial cancer deaths. It is estimated that during the whole first decade, the cumulative risk was two deaths per 1,000 women. It is important to state that the current knowledge about the association of tamoxifen with endometrial cancer will improve these statistics. In general, the reported trials were conducted without awareness of the endometrial side effects of tamoxifen. This is no longer the situation, and early detection will improve mortality figures associated with tamoxifen.

D. Conclusions
Tamoxifen has been extensively tested in clinical trials of adjuvant therapy for 20 yr. The Overview shows that the proportional mortality reductions were similar for women with node-positive or node-negative disease (84). However, the absolute reductions in mortality were much greater in node-positive than node-negative disease. Additionally, patients with ER-positive disease have an increased reduction in death rate with longer duration of tamoxifen treatment, whereas patients who are ER-negative do not benefit from tamoxifen, regardless of the duration of therapy. The value of a long duration of treatment is most important for the premenopausal patient (Fig. 3Go). This latter finding is new, as the results for premenopausal women could not be ascertained with certainty in earlier overviews (74). The Oxford Overview Analysis has established the veracity of the laboratory concepts that tamoxifen would be most effective in ER-positive disease, longer duration would be more beneficial, and tamoxifen would prevent primary breast cancer, in this case contralateral disease (85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90).

Overall, the absolute improvement in recurrence was greater during the first 5 yr after surgery, but improvement in survival increased steadily throughout the first 10 yr. This is an important finding because the patient is clearly benefiting from tamoxifen even after therapy has been discontinued. There is an accumulation of the tumoristatic/tumoricidal actions of tamoxifen for at least the first 5 yr of treatment, but the benefit continues after therapy stops. This is also true for the reduction in contralateral breast cancer; the breast seems to be protected so the value remains after therapy stops. This observation is extremely important for the application of tamoxifen as a preventive because a 5-yr course of tamoxifen would be expected to protect a woman from breast cancer for many years afterward.

Finally, the risk/benefit ratio of tamoxifen therapy can be stated to be strongly in the benefit category. The risk of endometrial cancer, a concept derived from laboratory studies (92), is of concern, but the benefits clearly outweigh the risks. In contrast, early concerns about the carcinogenic effects of tamoxifen in the rat liver (see Section VII) do not translate to the clinic as there is no evidence from the Overview Analysis of an increase in either liver or colorectal cancer in patients who take tamoxifen (84)


    IV. Selective ER Modulation
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
Nonsteroidal antiestrogens were originally defined as compounds that would inhibit estradiol-stimulated rat uterine weight. The compounds tamoxifen (ICI 46,474) (93), nafoxidine (U, 11,100A) (94), nitromifene (CI628) (95), and clomiphene (MRL 41)(96) are all partial estrogen agonists in the uterus that also inhibit dimethylbenzanthracene (DMBA)-induced rat mammary tumor growth (67, 97, 98) and the growth of ER-positive MCF-7 breast cancer cell growth in vitro (99). Thus, in the 1960s and 1970s, antiestrogenicity was correlated with antitumor activity. However, the finding that the compounds expressed increased estrogenic properties, i.e., vaginal cornification and increased uterine weight in the mouse (93, 100), raised questions about the reasons for the species specificity. One obvious possibility was species-specific metabolism, i.e., the mouse converts antiestrogens to estrogens via novel metabolic pathways. However, no species-specific metabolic routes to known estrogens (101, 102) have been identified, but knowledge of the mouse model created a new dimension for study that ultimately led to the recognition of the target site-specific actions of antiestrogens. This concept was subsequently referred to as selective ER modulation (SERM) to describe the target site-specific effects of raloxifene, an antiestrogen originally targeted for an application in breast cancer but now used, paradioxically, as a preventive for osteoporosis (see Section VII). Now the whole class of drugs are known as SERMs.

The ER-positive breast cancer cell line MCF-7 (for a review see Ref. 42) can be heterotransplanted into immune-deficient athymic mice but the cells will only grow into tumors with estrogen support. Paradoxically, tamoxifen, an estrogen in the mouse, does not support tumor growth (103) but stimulates mouse uterine growth with the same spectrum of tamoxifen metabolites present in both the uterus and the human tumor (28). To explain the selective actions of tamoxifen in different targets of the same host, it was suggested that the ER complex could be interpreted as a stimulatory or inhibitory signal at different sites (28). The concept was consolidated with experimental evidence from two further models. First, tamoxifen and raloxifene maintain bone density in the ovariectomized rat, but both compounds inhibit estradiol-stimulated uterine weight (29) and prevent carcinogen-induced mammary tumorigenesis (30). Second, the finding that tamoxifen would partially stimulate the growth of a human endometrial carcinoma transplanted into athymic mice (91) allowed the investigation of two human tumors bitransplanted in the same mouse to determine whether tamoxifen could inhibit estrogen-stimulated growth of two tumors in the same host equally (92). Tamoxifen demonstrated target site specificity: breast tumor growth was controlled but endometrial tumors continued to grow. Again the range of tamoxifen metabolites were consistent in all target tissues despite the contrasting biological responses, so it was concluded that the ER complexes must be interpreted differently in different target tissues.

During the past decade an intense effort has been made to discover the reason for the target site-specific effects of antiestrogens. Not only will this knowledge permit a rational application of tamoxifen and raloxifene in patients, but also the discovery of new mechanisms for drug selectively will open the door for new innovations in drug discovery. For the sake of completeness, we will briefly consider some of the current hypotheses that could explain the molecular mechanisms of antiestrogen action in different tissue sites.

A. Antiestrogenic activity at the ER
The crystallization of the ligand-binding domain of the ER with estradiol and raloxifene has provided an important insight into the conformational changes that occur in the receptor (104) liganded with an estrogen or an antiestrogen, respectively. Estradiol causes helix 12 to seal the ligand inside the hydrophobic pocket of the ligand-binding domain (Fig. 5AGo). This causes receptor activation through the binding of coactivators on the surface of helix 12 (see Section IV.B). By contrast, the binding of raloxifene prevents helix 12 from sealing the hydrophobic pocket (Fig. 5BGo), and gene transcription cannot occur because coactivators cannot bind. Unfortunately, the final shape of the ER and anti-ER complexes do not tell us how the tertiary changes in protein structure occur. However, the crystal structure provides proof of the critical importance of AA351 (aspartate) for raloxifene action. The alkylaminoethoxy side chain is the essential structural feature of nonsteroidal antiestrogens (for a review see Ref. 105). The distance between the nitrogen and the oxygen must be optimal (106), the conformations available to the side chain must not be restricted (107), and the basicity of the nitrogen must be correct (108). Removal of the side chain results in loss of all activity or an increase in estrogenic properties (109). The side chain was originally predicted (110, 111) to bind to an "antiestrogenic region" in the ligand-binding domain of the ER to neutralize the estrogenic properties of the receptor. Simply stated, the antiestrogen was perceived to act like a stick to prevent the jaws of the ER from closing around the ligand. Looked at another way, an estrogenic complex would only be created by the protein enveloping the ligand. For the nonsteroidal antiestrogens, the "antiestrogenic region" is now known to be AA351 on helix 3. The discovery of an ER mutant in a tamoxifen-stimulated MCF-7 breast tumor (112) and the finding that it can increase the estrogenic properties of 4-hydroxytamoxifen (113, 114), the active metabolite of tamoxifen (115), and convert raloxifene from an antiestrogen to an estrogen (116, 117) is valuable biological proof that AA 351 is important for the antiestrogenic activity of these specific compounds. This interaction, at the critical contact point of helix 3 and helix 12, prevents helix 12 from sealing the ligand into the binding pocket (Fig. 5BGo). Interestingly, a recent report of the crystal structure of 4-hydroxytamoxifen and the ligand-binding domain of ER (118) shows a complex interaction of the side chain with several amino acids including AA 351. The distance between AA 351 and the nitrogen of 4-hydroxytamoxifen is further than the comparable interaction in raloxifene. This difference between the crystal structure of the raloxifene ER complex (104) and the 4-hydroxytamoxifen ER complex (118) may explain the promiscuous nature of the 4-hydroxytamoxifen ER complex. However, it must be stressed the AA 351 has no role for the antiestrogenic action of the pure antiestrogen ICI 182,780 (117) and other amino acids may be found to be involved in the antiestrogenic mechanisms of novel compounds in the future.



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Figure 5. Comparison of the binding of estradiol (diagram A) and raloxifene (diagram B) in the ligand-binding domain of the human ER. The key event is the repositioning of helix 12 to seal the steroid in the hydrophobic pocket. This event allows the ER complex to recruit coactivators for the transcription complex. The side chain of raloxifene prevents recruitment of coactivators by first masking AA 351 in helix 3, which is critical for the relocation of helix 12. Coactivators cannot bind to the AF2 region of helix 12 because it cannot seal the ligand-binding domain. [Derived from Ref. 104.]

 
Nevertheless, this two-dimensional model, which describes antiestrogen and estrogen action, is too simple to encompass all the complexities of the target site-specific actions of the antiestrogens. Furthermore, the crystallization data do not include the conformational information about the other half (i.e., the A, B, C, or F domains illustrated in Fig. 2Go) of the ER that control interaction with transcription factors and binding to DNA. Subtle changes in the whole protein shape could be responsible for changes in the intrinsic efficacy of the receptor complex at different target sites.

B. Coactivators for ER
A host of coactivator and corepressor proteins has been implicated in the construction of a transcription complex in target cells (63, 64, 119, 120, 121, 122, 123). The finding that an antiestrogen ER complex could become increasingly estrogenic in different cell contexts (124, 125) raised the possibility that the differential distribution of coactivators or corepressors could be responsible for changes in estrogenicity between the breast and, for example, bones (126, 127). The activating function (AF-2) region in the ligand-binding domain (Fig. 2Go) is known to be repressed by tamoxifen and raloxifene, but the AF-1 region is unaffected by tamoxifen binding (125). Clearly, the shape of a particular complex of ligand and ER will be different for different drugs (125). Thus coactivators could modulate estrogenicity differentially in different target sites. The candidate proteins could therefore amplify the anti-ER complex into an estrogenic complex. Alternatively, the anti-ER complex might recruit completely new proteins at a specific target site to induce or to suppress gene transcription.

C. Alternate response elements on DNA
Anti-ER complexes can bind to an estrogen response element but cannot recruit coactivators to initiate transcription of estrogen-responsive genes (114). However, it is possible that the anti-ER complex can bind to alternate sites in the promoter region to initiate transcription. Alu DNA repeats were originally thought to be functionally inert, but these elements may be able to activate gene transcription with antiestrogens through an ER-related mechanism (128, 129). Additionally, a specific region of the transforming growth factor-ß promoter is believed to be activated by raloxifene (130). A raloxifene response element has been identified (131), but the authors are now convinced that a simple protein DNA interaction does not occur (132).

D. An alternate ER-ERß
The discovery of a second ER, named ERß (133), has introduced a new dimension into the possible mechanisms of tamoxifen or raloxifene action. Although ERß has similar functional homology in the DNA-binding domain, there is only 55% homology between ERß and ER{alpha} in the ligand-binding domain. Clearly, one possibility to explain the target site specificity and altered estrogenicity of antiestrogens is a differential distribution of ER{alpha} and -ß to different tissues (134). The mechanism of action of the differential pharmacology between ER{alpha} and -ß may also involve different methods of gene activation. A novel signal transduction pathway has been identified as a protein-protein interaction between ERß anti-ER complexes and AP-1 (fos and jun) (135) that is capable of activating a reporter gene. Estradiol, however, does not activate the reporter. Therefore, the pathway would be of pharmacological rather than physiological significance. Interestingly, an ER{alpha} tamoxifen complex will activate AP-1 reporter systems in the context of an endometrial cancer cell (136). This has led to speculation that the target site specificity of antiestrogens could be both receptor and context selective.


    V. Biological Basis for Tamoxifen as a Breast Cancer Preventive
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
With the molecular mechanisms of antiestrogens as a background, it is now appropriate to consider the scientific rationale for selecting tamoxifen to be tested as a breast cancer preventive, based on its pharmacological properties. Knowledge converged over the past 25 yr to make the choice of testing tamoxifen in well women a logical extension of clinical experience. Tamoxifen was selected for testing as a preventive based on 1) animal studies that demonstrated it could prevent carcinogenesis, 2) an extensive clinical experience that showed few serious side effects, 3) a beneficial profile of estrogen-like action in maintaining bone density, and 4) tamoxifen reduces circulating cholesterol. The fact that tamoxifen was already known to reduce the incidence of contralateral breast cancer made the drug the primary agent to test in high-risk women. The pharmacological properties of tamoxifen have been recently reviewed extensively (82); therefore, the purpose of this section is to act as a framework for a comparison with raloxifene in Section VIII and as a prelude to considering the current STAR trial (Section IX).

A. Animal models
Tamoxifen prevents rat mammary carcinogenesis induced by dimethylbenzanthracene, N-nitrosomethylurea, and ionizing radiation (86, 87, 88, 89, 30, 137), and long-term treatment prevents spontaneous carcinogenesis in C3H/OUJ mice infected with mouse mammary tumor virus (138). The latter result is of interest because tamoxifen is classified as an estrogen in the uterus and vagina of the mouse (93, 100). This, again, illustrates the target site specificity of tamoxifen in the mouse model, as mammary cancer is prevented almost completely. Although the athymic mouse model heterotransplanted with breast cancer cell lines has been extremely instructive for the use of therapeutic tamoxifen (103), and valuable as a model for understanding drug resistance (112), there are few parallels to chemoprevention. The MCF-7 cell line is derived from a pleural effusion, and the cells are, therefore, metastatic breast cancer (40). As such, the cell line does not replicate carcinogenesis in the breast or mimic primary breast cancer cells that have not developed the metastatic phenotype.

B. Bones
Tamoxifen maintains bone density in the ovariectomized rat (29, 31), and these observations have been translated to clinical trials. Sporadic reports (32, 139) and placebo-controlled randomized trials (33, 140) demonstrate that tamoxifen can increase bone density in the lumbar spine, forearm, and neck of the femur by 1–2%. Although the increases are modest compared with the results obtained with estrogen use or bisphosphonates ({approx} 5% increase in bone density), tamoxifen produced a significant decrease in hip and wrist fractures as a secondary end point in the breast cancer prevention trial (141). There is, however, a report that tamoxifen can reduce bone density in premenopausal women by 1–2% (142), but the decrease appears to be without clinical significance as there is no increase in the fracture rate. The reason for this may be the fact that a small decrease in bone density in a premenopausal woman is still well above the range of bone densities observed for women in their late 60s and 70s at risk for fractures.

C. Lipids
Tamoxifen reduces circulating cholesterol (34, 35). Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol is reduced by about 15%, but high-density lipoprotein cholesterol is maintained. It is hypothesized that this magnitude of fall in circulating cholesterol is a good surrogate marker for protection from coronary heart disease and atherosclerosis. In this regard there is evidence that woman who have been treated with 5 yr of adjuvant tamoxifen for breast cancer have a reduced incidence of fatal myocardial infarction (143, 144). Additionally, longer treatment (5 yr) appears to be superior to shorter treatment (2 yr) in reducing the number of hospital admissions for any cardiac condition (145). Conversely, a large study in the United States of five or more years of tamoxifen for the adjuvant treatment of breast cancer found no statistically strong evidence for the protection of women from coronary heart disease (146). Nevertheless, the incidence of coronary heart disease doubled once tamoxifen treatment was stopped, and, most importantly, there was no evidence for a detrimental effect of tamoxifen, i.e., tamoxifen did not increase the rate of coronary heart disease in pre- or postmenopausal women. The reasons for the disparate results probably reflect the populations studied. Breast cancer clinical trials usually require a good general health status before enrollment. Obviously, women at high risk for a second disease, coronary heart disease, would not be enrolled into a trial evaluating the efficacy of an antiestrogenic therapy in, for example, node-negative breast cancer where the prognosis, for the majority of women, would be expected to be good. Only a prospective randomized trial in a high-risk population would provide accurate data to support a claim for cardio-protection. At this point in time, there is no evidence that tamoxifen is detrimental based on current clinical evaluations, but there is no prospective clinical evidence that tamoxifen will reduce the risk of coronary heart disease.

D. Uterus
It is well known that tamoxifen produces a partial agonist action in the rat uterus (93), but the histology is different than the epithelial hyperplasia noted with estradiol (147). Until the late 1980s, there was very little information about the actions of tamoxifen in the normal human uterus. However, it is now clear that a variety of endometrial changes occur in unselected populations of women (148). The most significant finding is an increase in the stromal component rather than endometrial hyperplasia (149, 150). Despite the fact that tamoxifen has been used to treat endometrial cancer, the laboratory data suggesting that tamoxifen has the potential to encourage the growth of preexisting disease harbored in the uterus (91, 92) provoked an intense investigation of the rates of detection of endometrial cancer in women using adjuvant tamoxifen treatment for breast cancer. These data have been reviewed (151), and it is clear from the recent results of the tamoxifen prevention trial (141) that tamoxifen does not cause an excess of endometrial cancer in premenopausal women but does increase risk by 3- to 4-fold in postmenopausal women. This is consistent with the fact that women harbor 4–5 times the level of endometrial cancer than is detected clinically (152). In other words, the increase in the detection of endometrial cancer from 1 per 1,000 women per year to 3 per 1,000 women per year is consistent with the known rate of occult disease. Most importantly, the stage and grade of endometrial cancer observed in women taking tamoxifen is the same as those in the general population (141, 153).


    VI. Risk Factors for Breast Cancer
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
If tamoxifen is an appropriate agent to test as a chemopreventive primarily because of its extensive clinical experience for the treatment of breast cancer, then the issue becomes identification of women at risk to select as a target population for recruitment to definitive clinical trials. Family history is probably the most well recognized risk factor for breast cancer, and it is now known that two forms of risk are associated with a family history of the disease. An inherited gene mutation predisposing to breast cancer is believed to account for only 5–10% of breast cancer cases (154, 155). Although infrequent, these mutations are significant since they are associated with a lifetime risk of breast cancer development of 50–80% (156, 157). At present, two predisposition genes, BRCA1, located on chromosome 17q21 (158), and BRCA2, located on chromosome 13q12–13 (159), have been identified. Both genes are inherited in an autosomal dominant fashion and are characterized by an extremely high risk of breast cancer development, which begins at a young age. Both genes also confer an increased risk of ovarian cancer development, which in BRCA1 carriers is estimated to be 10% by age 60 (160), and is lower in BRCA2 carriers. In addition, germ line mutations of the tumor suppressor gene p53, as seen in patients with the Li-Fraumeni syndrome, may account for about 1% of breast cancer cases occurring in women age 40 and younger (161, 162).

Most women with a family history of breast cancer do not have the genetically transmitted form of the disease, and therefore their increase in risk is much less than that seen in women who have inherited a predisposition gene. The cumulative probability that a 30-yr-old woman with a mother and sister with breast cancer will develop breast cancer by the age of 70 is reported to be between 7% and 18% (163, 164). While this risk increases as the number of relatives with breast cancer increases, the probability of cancer development if both a mother and sister have bilateral breast cancer has been reported to be only 25% (162, 164). The cumulative risk of breast cancer development in women with a family history of breast cancer rarely exceeds 30%, making it critically important to distinguish those women with hereditary breast cancer from those with a family history of the disease. Factors that should increase the clinician’s index of suspicion that a woman is at risk for genetically transmitted breast cancer include multiple relatives (maternal or paternal) with the disease, a family history of ovarian cancer in association with breast cancer, and a family history of bilateral and/or early onset of breast cancer. Although not all women with these factors will have genetically transmitted breast cancer, a referral for genetic counseling will allow the construction of a detailed pedigree to estimate both breast cancer risk and the competing causes of death due to an increased risk of the development of other types of cancer.

Breast cancer is clearly related to endogenous hormones, and numerous studies have linked breast cancer risk to the age of menarche, menopause, and first pregnancy. Although the absolute age-specific incidence of breast cancer is higher in postmenopausal than premenopausal women (165), the absolute rate of rise of the curve is greatest up to the time of menopause, and then slows to one-sixth of that seen in the premenopausal period. Further support for the promotional role of estrogen in breast cancer development comes from the observations that early menarche (166), late menopause (167), nulliparity, and late age at first birth (168) all increase the risk of breast cancer development. An increased number of ovulatory cycles is suggested to be the common mechanism of increased risk.

Other hormonal risk factors have been suggested but are not as well established. Abortion, whether spontaneous or induced, has been reported by some authors to increase risk (169, 170), while other studies have found no relationship between abortion and breast cancer risk (171, 172). Studies of the effect of lactation on breast cancer risk have also been inconclusive (173, 174), but recent studies have suggested that a long duration of lactation reduces breast cancer risk in premenopausal women (175). Physical activity in adolescence is reported to decrease risk, perhaps due to a higher rate of anovulatory cycles (176, 177), but an increased level of physical activity later in life has not been shown to reduce breast cancer risk (178). Postmenopausal obesity has also been shown to increase risk (179), perhaps due to increased peripheral estrogen production, but this relationship between weight and risk is not observed in premenopausal women. In fact, some studies have reported an inverse relationship between weight and risk at a younger age (180).

The effects of exogenous hormones in the form of oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy on breast cancer risk have been studied extensively, but few firm conclusions may be drawn. Overall, there is no convincing evidence of an increase in breast cancer risk in women who have ever used oral contraceptives (181). However, some studies have suggested that the long-term use of oral contraceptives in young women before first birth may increase breast cancer risk (182, 183). Two recent meta-analyses of the effect of estrogen replacement therapy demonstrate small but statistically significant increases in risk for users (184, 185). However, Steinberg et al. (184) noted no increase in risk until after at least 5 yr of estrogen use, after which a proportional increase in risk for each year of estrogen use was observed, while Sillero-Arenas et al. (185) did not observe a significant association between duration of hormone replacement therapy and breast cancer risk. In summary, although hormonal risk factors are clearly implicated in the pathogenesis of breast cancer, most of them are associated with a RR of 3 or less of breast cancer development (Table 4Go), and the presence of a single hormonal risk factor is insufficient to classify a woman as high risk.


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Table 4. Magnitude of known breast cancer risk factors

 
The relationship of benign breast disease to breast carcinoma was a subject of confusion for many years. The use of a standard classification of benign breast diseases as nonproliferative, proliferative, or proliferative with atypia has resolved much of the controversy. The histological diagnoses comprising these categories are shown in Table 5Go. Nonproliferative disease is associated with no increase in breast cancer risk, while proliferative disease increases risk by a factor of 1.5–2.0, and atypical hyperplasia by a factor of 4–5. Approximately 70% of palpable breast masses contain nonproliferative disease (186), and only 3.6% are atypical hyperplasia. The incidence of atypia is somewhat higher in biopsies performed for mammographic lesions, ranging from 7–10% (187, 188). However, the risk of breast cancer development 15 yr after a diagnosis of atypical hyperplasia is only 8% in the absence of a family history of breast cancer. Proliferative breast disease is also noted more frequently in women with a significant family history of breast cancer than in controls, further supporting its role as a risk factor (189).


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Table 5. Classification of benign breast disease

 
Another benign breast lesion that is clearly associated with an increased risk of breast cancer development is lobular carcinoma in situ (LCIS). In the past, LCIS was thought to be a malignant lesion, albeit one with a favorable prognosis. However, the finding that LCIS is associated with a risk of breast cancer development of approximately 1% per yr, the observation that the risk of carcinoma is equal in both breasts, and the finding that neither the extent of LCIS in the breast nor its presence at a margin of resection influence the risk of subsequent cancer have led LCIS to be regarded as a risk factor for breast cancer development rather than the actual precursor of carcinoma (190).

A number of environmental factors have also been linked to breast cancer risk. Exposure to ionizing radiation, whether secondary to nuclear explosion or medical procedures, has been clearly demonstrated to increase breast cancer risk (191, 192, 193). The level of risk varies with the age of exposure, with a minimal increase in risk observed for exposure in women older than 40 yr. A larger amount of attention has been directed toward the role of diet in the etiology of breast cancer. This link has been suggested by the large international variation in breast cancer incidence rates and the observation that national per capita fat consumption correlates with breast cancer incidence and mortality (194). However, prospective studies of diet and breast cancer risk have failed to identify a relationship between dietary fat intake and breast cancer incidence for up to 10 yr of follow-up (195). The lack of a relationship between dietary fat intake and cancer risk within the context of a Western diet is confirmed by a pooled analysis of seven cohort studies involving a total of 337,816 women, which demonstrated no difference in risk for women with the lowest and highest quintile of fat intake (196). However, all of these studies have addressed fat intake during adult life, and they do not exclude the possibility that fat intake during childhood and adolescence may influence subsequent breast cancer risk.

Stronger evidence exists to support an association between alcohol and breast cancer. A meta-analysis of 12 case control studies demonstrated a RR of 1.4 for each 24 g of alcohol consumed daily (197). Defining a relationship between age of alcohol consumption and breast cancer risk is more difficult, with conflicting data on the importance of drinking early in life (198, 199). A summary of the magnitude of increase in risk associated with the factors discussed is provided in Table 4Go.

A. Interactions among risk factors
A major problem in the clinical identification of the "high risk woman" is the lack of knowledge of the interactions among the various factors known to alter breast cancer risk, since the majority of studies have focused on defining individual risk factors. Most women have a combination of factors that both increase and decrease risk, complicating the assessment of an individual’s level of risk. In addition, it is unclear whether the risk conferred by multiple risk factors is additive, multiplicative, or varies with the risk factor under study.

The interactions between a family history of breast cancer and other risk factors have been examined, often with conflicting results. Dupont and Page (186) observed that the combination of atypical hyperplasia and a family history of a first-degree relative with breast cancer increased the RR of breast cancer to 11 times that of an index population, compared with a RR of 4.4 for atypia alone. However, Rosen et al. (200) found that the presence of a family history of breast carcinoma did not alter the level of risk after a diagnosis of LCIS, a lesion often considered part of a continuum with atypical hyperplasia. An analysis of data from the Nurses Health Study (201) found that in women with a mother or sister with breast cancer, known risk factors of age at menarche or menopause, parity, age at first birth, alcohol use, and the presence of benign breast disease did not further alter risk. In contrast, Anderson and Badzioch (202) and Brinton et al. (203) have reported that hormonal factors further modulate risk in women with a family history of breast cancer, although the effect varies with the factor under study.

Studies of the interaction between estrogen replacement therapy and other known breast cancer risk factors also have variable results, depending on the risk factor under study. In a meta-analysis of 16 published studies, Steinberg et al. (184) found that the effect of estrogen replacement did not differ among parous and nulliparous women and those with or without benign breast disease. However, an enhanced risk was observed in women with a family history of breast cancer. The analysis of the interaction among risk factors is further complicated by the fact that some factors may be important for the risk of premenopausal, but not postmenopausal, cancer and vice versa, and these effects may not be constant over time.

A model to predict the risk of breast cancer development in women at a given age over a defined time interval was developed by Gail et al. (204) using data from 4,496 matched pairs of cases and controls in the Breast Cancer Diagnosis and Demonstration Project. The model incorporates the risk factors of age at menarche, age at first live birth, number of first-degree relatives with breast cancer, and number of previous breast biopsies, and has been shown to predict risk accurately in two validation studies of women undergoing annual mammographic screening (205, 206). However, the model overpredicts breast cancer risk by 33% among women age 60 and younger who do not undergo annual screening. There are several other limitations of the model. Because only first-degree relatives are considered, it is not an appropriate model for women with extensive family histories of breast cancer, where risk may be underestimated. In women with risk due to LCIS or atypical hyperplasia, the model underestimates risk, since the highest RR for breast biopsy is 2.0. Similarly, for the woman with nonproliferative disease, the model may overestimate risk. In spite of these limitations, the model is a clinically important tool for identifying a woman’s level of risk over a clinically relevant time period, after correction for competing causes of mortality. The Risk Disk, which is available from the National Cancer Institute, uses the Gail model to provide a numeric estimate of a woman’s 5 yr and lifetime risk of developing breast cancer compared with an "average risk" woman of the same age. Examples are given in Figs. 6Go and 7Go.



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Figure 6. Risk assessment for breast cancer in a woman with two risk factors. The woman illustrated here has a mother with breast cancer and has never had any children. The combination of these factors means that her 5-yr risk of breast cancer development is 1.6%, compared with 0.5% in a woman with no risk factors. If she lives to the age of 70, her risk will be 18% compared with 6.4% for the woman with no risk factors. This level of risk would not have qualified the woman to participate in the recently completed Breast Cancer Prevention Trial with tamoxifen.

 


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Figure 7. Risk assessment for breast cancer in a woman with multiple risk factors. The woman illustrated here has early menarche, late age at first birth, and has a mother and sister with breast cancer. In addition, she has had a breast biopsy showing atypical hyperplasia. This combination of risk factors makes her 5-yr risk of breast cancer development 7.5% and her lifetime risk 53.4%. She is an ideal candidate to consider tamoxifen for risk reduction.

 
B. Identification of candidates for chemoprevention
Women at increased risk for breast cancer would seem to be ideal candidates for chemoprevention initiatives. However, from the preceding discussion it is apparent that the problem of identification of the high-risk woman is far from solved. There is no consensus regarding what level of increase in risk is clinically relevant. The interactions among risk factors and their variability over time are poorly understood, and most of the data on risk come from studies of white women, so little is known about the impact of ethnic diversity on risk. Finally, with the exception of women with mutations of breast cancer predisposition genes, the majority of women with risk factors will not develop breast carcinoma. In addition, a recent study of the fraction of breast cancer cases in the United States due to attributable risk factors (207) found that fewer that 50% of women who develop the disease have any identifiable risk factors. A family history of breast cancer accounted for only 9.1% of cases, while relatively minor risk factors such as later age at first birth and nulliparity contributed 29.5% of cases. In a similar study, Seidman et al. (208) noted that only 21% of breast cancer cases in women age 30–54 and 29% of cases in women age 55–84 occurred in women with 1 of 10 common breast cancer risk factors. The majority of women in the studies described had minor risk factors, which increased the RR of breast cancer only 2-fold, and most had only a single risk factor. This level of "increased risk" would not meet the entry criteria for the trials of breast cancer prevention in high-risk women discussed below. These data suggest that even if women with a very small increase in breast cancer risk were targeted for prevention initiatives, a large number of cases would continue to be missed.


    VII. Prevention of Breast Cancer with Tamoxifen
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
This section will explore progress that has been achieved in the last decade to answer the question, "Does tamoxifen have worth in the prevention of breast cancer in high risk women?". Two studies have claimed to address this question—The Royal Marsden Pilot Study (209) and the National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) Protocol P-1 (141). However, the Marsden study was not designed to answer the question about the prevention of breast cancer. It was a pilot toxicology study (142) that was subsequently part of a nationwide clinical trial in Britain that planned to recruit a total of 20,000 high-risk women. The main British study is ongoing. Additionally, an Italian report of the efficacy of tamoxifen in a small number of low-risk women (~5,000) has been published (210), but again this is a small component of a 20,000-volunteer trail that has now been stopped.

A. Royal Marsden Pilot Study
Powles and co-workers (211) recruited high-risk women aged 30–70 to a placebo-controlled trial using 20 mg of tamoxifen daily for up to 8 yr. Women were eligible if their risk of breast cancer was increased due to family history. Each participant had at least one first-degree relative with breast cancer under age 50, or a first-degree relative affected at any age plus an additional affected first- or second-degree relative, or a first-degree relative with bilateral breast cancer. Women with a history of benign breast biopsy and an affected first-degree relative of any age were also eligible. Women with a history of venous thrombosis, any previous malignancy, or an estimated life expectancy of fewer than 10 yr were excluded (209, 212). A total of 2,494 women consented to participate in the study, and 23 were excluded from final analysis due to the presence of preexisting ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) or invasive breast carcinoma (209) The trial was originally undertaken to evaluate the problems of accrual, acute symptomatic toxicity, compliance, and safety as a basis for subsequent large national, multicenter trials designed to test whether tamoxifen can prevent breast cancer (211). However, the trial has also been analyzed for breast cancer incidence (209). The stated goal of this pilot study was to act as a vangard for a 20,000 strong volunteer trial throughout the United Kingdom and Australia. The national study is ongoing, but the recruitment goal has been cut to 12,000.

Acute symptomatic toxicity was low for participants on tamoxifen or placebo in the pilot study, and compliance remained correspondingly high: 77% of women on tamoxifen and 82% of women on placebo remained on medication at 5 yr (212). There was a significant increase in hot flashes (34% vs. 20%), mostly in premenopausal women (P < 0.005); vaginal discharge (16% vs. 4%; P < 0.005); and menstrual irregularities (14% vs. 9%; P < 0.005), respectively. At the most recent follow-up, 320 women had discontinued tamoxifen and 176 had discontinued placebo before the study’s completion (P < 0.005) (209).

Until their report in 1994, the Marsden group (212) observed no thromboembolic episodes; a detailed analysis of other coagulation parameters in a sequential subset of women also found no significant changes in Protein S, Protein C, or cross-linked fibrinogen degradation products. At 70 months, no significant difference in the incidence of deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism was observed between groups. A significant fall in total plasma cholesterol occurred within 3 months and was sustained over 5 yr of treatment (142, 213, 214). The decrease affected low-density lipoproteins with no change in apolipoproteins A and B or high-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

In contrast, tamoxifen exerted antiestrogenic or estrogenic effects on bone density, depending on menopausal status. In premenopausal women, early findings demonstrated a small but significant (P < 0.05) loss of bone in both the lumbar spine and hip at 3 yr (142). It will be most important to evaluate the results at 5 and 8 yr of therapy, as current indications suggest bone stabilization rather than continued loss. In contrast, postmenopausal women had increased bone mineral density in the spine (P < 0.005) and hip (P < 0.001) compared with untreated women (142).

Finally, the Marsden group has made an extensive study of gynecological complications associated with tamoxifen treatment in healthy women. Since ovarian and uterine assessment by transvaginal ultrasound became available some time after the trial’s start, many subjects did not have a baseline evaluation. Ovarian screening demonstrated a significantly increased risk (P < 0.005) of detecting benign ovarian cysts in premenopausal women who had received tamoxifen for more than 3 months compared with controls. There were no changes in ovarian appearance in postmenopausal women (212). A careful examination of the uterus with transvaginal ultrasonography using color Doppler imaging in women taking tamoxifen showed that the organ was usually larger; moreover, women with sonographic abnormalities had significantly thicker endometria (215). Of particular interest in this regard was the recent observation (150) that 20 mg of tamoxifen daily caused a time-dependent proliferation of the endometrium in premenopausal and early postmenopausal women. This effect appeared to be mediated by the stromal component, since no cases of cancer or even epithelial hyperplasia were observed among the tamoxifen-treated group in this Italian study with 33 women (150).

Although the Marsden pilot study has provided invaluable information about the biological effects of tamoxifen in healthy women, the trial was not designed to answer the question of whether tamoxifen prevents breast cancer. In spite of this, an analysis of breast cancer incidence was reported at a median follow-up of 70 months, when 42% of the participants had completed therapy or withdrawn (209). During the study, 336 women receiving tamoxifen and 305 on placebo received hormone-replacement therapy. No difference in the incidence of breast cancer was observed between the groups. There were 34 carcinomas in the tamoxifen group and 36 in the placebo group—a RR of 0.98. Of the 70 cancers, only 8 were ductal carcinoma in situ. An analysis of the subset of women on hormone-replacement therapy did not demonstrate an interaction with tamoxifen treatment. At present there is no satisfactory answer to the question of why the Marsden Pilot study shows no decrease in breast cancer incidence in the tamoxifen arm. The authors suggest (209) that perhaps they have a high population of BRCA-1 and -2 carriers that are hormone unresponsive but this is unproven. The fact that women on the Marsden trial were allowed to take hormone replacement therapy, but the women on the NSABP P-1 trial were not is unlikely to be responsible for the Marsden result. We believe that the study, by chance, is underpowered to show a difference. If this is true, then it appears that a precise instrument to evaluate risk may be a key factor in the success of the NSABP study as well as the large volunteer population with adequate events to answer the question posed.

B. NSABP/NCI Study
This prospective clinical trial opened in the United States and Canada in May of 1992 with an accrual goal of 16,000 women to be recruited at 100 North American sites. The specific aim was to test the worth of tamoxifen as a preventive for breast cancer. It closed after accruing 13,388 in 1997 because of the exceptionally high-risk status of the participants. This means that the events would be adequate to establish statistical significance. The study design is illustrated in Fig. 8Go. Those eligible for entry included any woman over the age of 60, or women between the ages of 35 and 59 whose 5-yr risk of developing breast cancer, as predicted by the Gail model (204), was equal to that of a 60-yr-old woman. Additionally, any woman over age 35 with a diagnosis of LCIS treated by biopsy alone was eligible for entry to the study. In the absence of LCIS, the risk factors necessary to enter the study varied with age, such that a 35-yr-old woman must have had a RR of 5.07, whereas the required RR for a 45-yr-old woman was 1.79. Routine endometrial biopsies to evaluate the incidence of endometrial carcinoma in both arms of the study were also performed.



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Figure 8. The eligibility and design of the NSABP tamoxifen prevention trial. Originally the recruitment goal was 16,000 volunteers, but the actual calculated risk for the recruited group was higher than anticipated and resulted in a change in recruitment goals. A total of 13,388 women were recruited by Summer 1997, and the preliminary results were reported in April 1998. A full report was presented in September 1998 (141 ).

 
The breast cancer risk of women enrolled in the study was extremely high, with no age group having an RR of less than 4—including the over-60 group. Recruitment was also balanced, with about one-third younger than 50 yr, one-third between 50–60 yr, and one-third older than 60 yr. Secondary end points of the study included the effect of tamoxifen on the incidence of fractures and cardiovascular deaths. Most importantly, the study expects to provide the first prospective information about the role of genetic markers in the etiology of breast cancer. It will also establish whether tamoxifen has a role to play in the treatment of women who are found to carry somatic mutations in the BRCA-1 gene. (Laboratory results are not yet available.)

The first results of the NSABP study were reported in September 1998, after a mean follow-up of 47.7 months (141). There were a total of 363 invasive and noninvasive breast cancers in the participants: 124 in the tamoxifen group and 239 in the placebo group. A 49% reduction in the risk of invasive breast cancer was seen in the tamoxifen group, and a 50% reduction in the risk of noninvasive breast cancer was observed. A subset analysis of women at risk due to a diagnosis of LCIS demonstrated a 56% reduction in this group. The most dramatic reduction was seen in women at risk due to atypical hyperplasia, where risk was reduced by 86%.

The benefits of tamoxifen were observed in all age groups, with a RR of breast cancer ranging from 0.45 in women aged 60 and older to 0.49 for those in the 50–59 yr age group, and 0.56 for women aged 49 and younger (Fig. 9Go). A benefit for tamoxifen was also observed for women with all levels of breast cancer risk within the study, indicating that the benefits of tamoxifen are not confined to a particular lower-risk or higher-risk subset. Benefits were observed in women at risk on the basis of family history and those whose risk was due to other factors.



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Figure 9. The overall reduction in invasive breast cancer observed in the NSABP tamoxifen prevention trial P-1 in women at high risk for the disease, recruited to receive either tamoxifen (20 mg daily) or placebo (see Fig. 8Go). The women were also subdivided into age groups, and the same reduction in the incidence of breast cancer was observed. The numbers of breast cancers are shown on the top of each histogram for each treatment arm. [Derived from Ref. 141.]

 
As expected, the effect of tamoxifen was seen on the incidence of ER-positive tumors, which was reduced by 69% per year. The rate of ER-negative tumors in the tamoxifen group (1.46 per 1,000 women) did not significantly differ from that of the placebo group (1.20 per 1000 women) (Fig. 10Go). Tamoxifen reduced the rate of invasive cancers of all sizes, but the greatest difference between the groups was in the incidence of tumors 2.0 cm or less in size. Tamoxifen also reduced the incidence of both node-positive and node-negative breast cancer. The beneficial effects of tamoxifen were observed for each year of follow-up in the study. After year 1, the risk was reduced by 33%, and in year 5, by 69%.



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Figure 10. The incidence of ER-positive and ER-negative breast cancer in the placebo and tamoxifen-treated arms of the NSABP tamoxifen prevention trial P-1 (see Fig. 8Go). The antiestrogen reduces the risk of developing ER-positive breast cancer, but there is no change in the incidence of ER-negative breast cancer. The number of breast cancers are shown on the top of each histogram for each treatment arm. [Adapted from B. Fisher et al.: J Natl Cancer Inst 90:1371–1388, 1998 (141 ). © Oxford University Press.]

 
Tamoxifen also reduced the overall incidence of osteoporotic fractures of the hip, spine, and radius by 19% (Fig. 11Go) (141). However, the overall difference approached, but did not reach, statistical significance. This reduction was greatest in women who were 50 and older at study entry. No difference in the risk of myocardial infarction, angina, coronary artery bypass grafting, or angioplasty was noted between groups (141).



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Figure 11. The incidence of osteoporotic fractures of the hip, wrist, and spine observed in the placebo and tamoxifen-treated arms of the NSABP tamoxifen prevention trial P-1. The numbers of fractures are shown on the top of each histogram for each treatment arm. [Derived from Ref. 141.]

 
This study confirmed the association between tamoxifen and endometrial carcinoma (151, 153). The RR of endometrial cancer in the tamoxifen group was 2.5. The increased risk was seen in women aged 50 and older, whose RR was 4.01. All endometrial cancers in the tamoxifen group were grade 1, and none of the women receiving tamoxifen died of endometrial cancer. There was one endometrial cancer death in the placebo group. Although there is no doubt that tamoxifen increases the risk of endometrial cancer, it is important to recognize that this increase translates to an incidence of 2.3 women per 1,000 per year who develop endometrial carcinoma.

More women in the tamoxifen group developed deep vein thrombosis than in the placebo group (141). Again, this excess risk was confined to women aged 50 and older. The RR of deep vein thrombosis in the older age group was 1.71 (95% confidence interval 0.85 to 3.58). An increase in pulmonary emboli was also seen in the older women taking tamoxifen, with a RR of approximately 3. Three deaths from pulmonary emboli occurred in the tamoxifen arm, but all were in women with significant comorbidities. An increased incidence of stroke (RR 1.75) was also seen in the tamoxifen group, but this did not reach statistical significance

An assessment of the incidence of cataract formation was made using patient self-report. A small increase in cataracts was noted in the tamoxifen group—a rate of 24.8 women per 1,000 compared with 21.7 per 1,000 in the placebo group. There was also an increased risk of cataract surgery in the women on tamoxifen. These differences were marginally statistically significant and were observed in the older patients in the study. These findings emphasize the need to assess the patient’s overall health status before making a decision to use tamoxifen for reduction of breast cancer risk.

An assessment of quality of life showed no difference in depression scores between groups. Hot flashes were noted in 81% of the women on tamoxifen compared with 69% of the placebo group, and the tamoxifen-associated hot flashes appeared to be of no greater severity than those in the placebo group. Moderately bothersome or severe vaginal discharge was reported by 29% of the women in the tamoxifen group and 13% in the placebo group. No differences in the occurrence of irregular menses, nausea, fluid retention, skin changes, or weight gain or loss were reported.

C. Italian study
The third tamoxifen prevention study, performed in Italy, began in October 1992, and randomized 5,408 women aged 35 to 70 to 20 mg of tamoxifen daily for 5 yr (210). Originally, 20,000 volunteers without risk factors were to be recruited, but the study was stopped prematurely because of poor recruitment and compliance. Women were required to have had a hysterectomy for a nonneoplastic condition to obviate concerns about an increased risk of endometrial carcinoma. There was no requirement that participants be at risk for breast cancer development, and, in fact, those who underwent premenopausal oophorectomy with hysterectomy (47%) actually had a reduced risk of breast cancer development. Women with endometriosis, cardiac disease, and deep venous thrombosis were excluded from the study. Although 5,408 women (mean age 51 yr old) were randomized into this study, 1,422 withdrew and only 149 completed 5 yr of treatment. A valid breast cancer prevention study would only be possible if more than 10,000 normal-risk women had completed 5 yr of tamoxifen vs. 10,000 on placebo.

The incidence of breast cancer did not differ between groups, with 19 cases in the tamoxifen group and 22 in the placebo group. Tumor characteristics, including size, grade, lymph node status, and receptor status, also did not differ between groups.

The incidence of thrombophlebitis was increased in the tamoxifen group. Fifty-six women experienced a total of 64 events: 38 women in the tamoxifen group and 18 women in the placebo group (P = 0.0053). However, 42 of these cases were superficial phlebitis. No differences in the incidence of cerebrovascular ischemic events were observed.

D. Conclusions
Based on a single trial with a positive result and two with negative results, it may seem, at first glance, that the role of tamoxifen in breast cancer prevention remains unresolved. However, critical differences exist between these three studies (see characteristics in Table 6Go).


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Table 6. A comparison of patient characteristics in the tamoxifen prevention trials

 
The negative finding in the Italian study (210) is readily explained by the relatively low risk of breast cancer development in the study population, the high dropout rate, the fact that the volunteers were young women, and the small number of participants who completed 5 yr of treatment. Despite these problems, the Italian study shows a trend toward statistical significance among women who took tamoxifen for more than 1 yr, suggesting that with further follow-up, the results of this study may become positive with benefit for the women who took tamoxifen. At present, the only conclusion that can be drawn from this study is that the possible benefits of tamoxifen are likely to be small in women with an average or decreased risk of breast cancer.

The Royal Marsden study was initially described as a pilot study to examine toxicity and compliance (211, 212, 214), which would serve as a feasibility assessment for a larger trial to determine whether tamoxifen prevents breast cancer. In spite of being designed as a pilot study, the trial is now said to have a 90% power to detect a 50% reduction in breast cancer incidence, yet shows no effect (209). The authors suggest that the positive results of the NSABP trial at 3.5 yr of follow-up are most likely due to the treatment of clinically occult carcinoma, rather than the prevention of new breast cancers. However, of the 363 total cancers in the NSABP study (141), 99 (28%) were DCIS, compared with 11% of the 70 cancers in the Royal Marsden study. The higher percentage of DCIS in the NSABP trial indicates that the detection of subclinical cancers occurred, and that any treated occult cancer was not truly amenable to detection by currently available means. Whether occult carcinoma was treated or true prevention occurred, a significantly greater number of women were spared surgery, irradiation, and chemotherapy. The data from the Overview Analysis (84) do not support the contention that these cancers will become clinically evident when tamoxifen is stopped, since the reduction in contralateral breast cancer persists through 10 yr even though tamoxifen treatment was stopped at 5 yr.

Overall, the results of the NSABP trial (141), with its large study population, clearly support the benefit of tamoxifen for breast cancer prevention in high-risk women. These findings are consistent with laboratory observations and with the contralateral breast cancer risk reduction seen with tamoxifen therapy (Fig. 4Go).

Tamoxifen was approved in 1998 for the reduction of risk in pre- and postmenopausal women with a high risk of breast cancer. The results of the NSABP prevention trial have established tamoxifen as the current standard of care and also opened the door for the evaluation of other agents, which might have an improved safety or efficacy profile in clinical trial. Tamoxifen causes rat liver carcinogenesis (216, 217), and there is an association with an increased incidence of endometrial cancer (151, 153). Although it is believed that metabolic activation of tamoxifen to a DNA adduct (218, 219) is unique to the rat liver (220, 221, 222, 223, 224, 225, 226), an agent that did not produce liver tumors in rats and was less estrogenic in the rodent uterus might have value for application as a breast cancer preventive. Raloxifene is being tested in the STAR trial (Section IX) against tamoxifen primarily because there is no evidence of rat liver carcinogenesis and there is less estrogen-like actions in the rodent uterus. It is possible that these laboratory qualities could translate into fewer endometrial cancers in women during raloxifene therapy, but this can only be established in large prospective clinical trials.


    VIII. Biological Basis for Raloxifene as a Breast Cancer Preventive
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
Raloxifene [originally named keoxifene or LY 156758 (227)] was discovered as part of the breast cancer program at the laboratories of Eli Lilly & Co. in Indianapolis, IN. The drug has a high binding affinity for ER (228, 229) primarily because it has strategically located phenolic groups (see Fig. 1Go). However, raloxifene and an analog LY 117018 (90, 230, 231, 232) are short acting compounds because of poor bioavailability due to rapid phase II metabolism. Indeed, a concern in the early clinical trials for the treatment of breast cancer was an inability to monitor blood levels. Although numerous assays are available to monitor tamoxifen and its metabolites (105), the structure of raloxifene does not permit the use of similar chemical methods of detection. Tamoxifen is easily converted from a triphenylethylene to a phenanthrene by UV light so that fluorescence detection has been used for two decades to measure drug levels as small as 1 ng/ml serum. The analytical technique currently used to monitor raloxifene has not been published. Nevertheless, raloxifene has limited clinical experience for the treatment of breast cancer. The initial study conducted at the MD Anderson Hospital in Houston showed no responses in heavily pretreated patients with stage IV disease (233). A second small study of 18 ER-positive patients with previously untreated metastatic disease showed modest response rates of 30%, with a dose of 300 mg daily (234). The key issue, which has not yet been addressed, is cross-resistance between raloxifene and tamoxifen. The use of raloxifene for the prevention of osteoporosis after 5 yr of adjuvant tamoxifen cannot be assumed to be safe for the patient with breast cancer until this issue is resolved. A clinical trial comparing adjuvant treatment with tamoxifen for 5 yr to treatment with tamoxifen followed by raloxifene is needed to determine whether raloxifene-stimulated tumor growth is a clinical reality.

The rationale for the use of raloxifene as a breast cancer preventive is based solely on an hypothesis formulated when SERM was first recognized (25, 29).

We have obtained valuable clinical information about this group of drugs that can be applied in other disease states. Research does not travel in straight lines, and observations in one field of science often become major discoveries in another. Important clues have been garnered about the effects of tamoxifen on bone and lipids, so it is possible that derivatives could find targeted applications to retard osteoporosis or atherosclerosis. The ubiquitous application of novel compounds to prevent diseases associated with the progressive changes after menopause may, as a side effect, significantly retard the development of breast cancer. The target population would be postmenopausal women in general, thereby avoiding the requirement to select a high-risk group to prevent breast cancer (25).

This new strategy to prevent breast cancer was described in 1990 (25). The evidence for the application of raloxifene in this new paradigm will be presented.

A. Antitumor actions
Raloxifene inhibits the growth of dimethylbenzanthracene-induced rat mammary carcinomata (235) but, dose for dose, tamoxifen is more effective. More importantly for the proposed evaluation as a preventative, raloxifene reduces the incidence of N-nitrosomethylurea-induced tumors (30, 236) if given after the carcinogen but before the appearance of palpable tumors (Fig. 12Go). However, as would be anticipated with a drug that has a short biological half-life, raloxifene is not superior to tamoxifen at equivalent doses (30). There is no doubt that raloxifene and its analogs are effective and potent inhibitors of the growth of breast cancer cells in culture (237, 238), but the complication of first-pass metabolism in vivo reduces potency. For this reason, doses above 60 mg raloxifene daily have been tested in clinical trial to prevent osteoporosis. As stated previously, raloxifene has only modest antitumor activity for the treatment of advanced disease (234). Only high-dose therapy (up to 300 mg daily) has been tested.



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Figure 12. A comparison of the effects of raloxifene (Ra1) on femur ash density in ovariectomized (OVX) rats (29 ) and the incidence of rat mammary tumors after the administration of NMU. Rats were treated with 100 µg and 500 µg raloxifene daily to prevent mammary carcinogenesis (30 ). These data illustrate the target site specificity of a drug predicted (25 ) to have the potential to prevent osteoporosis and breast cancer simultaneously. E2B, Estradiol benzoate, 50 µg daily orally.

 
Based on the hypothesis that raloxifene could reduce the incidence of breast cancer as a beneficial side effect of the prevention of osteoporosis (25), the placebo-controlled trials with raloxifene have been monitored. There are two separate data bases to test the hypothesis. First, an ongoing single trial entitled Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) has randomized 7,704 postmenopausal women (mean age 66.5 yr) who had osteoporosis (hip or spine bone density at least 2.5 SD below normal mean or had vertebrate fractures) and no history of breast or endometrial cancer, to placebo, or 60 or 120 mg raloxifene daily. Results at 2 yr, with a total of 32 cases of breast cancer confirmed, indicate a 70% reduction in the risk of breast cancer (239). The second data base pools all placebo-controlled trials and includes 10,553 women monitored for, on average, 3 yr. In this group a 54% reduction in the incidence of breast cancer in the raloxifene-treated patients is observed (240, 241). As was noted in the tamoxifen study, raloxifene reduces the incidence of ER-positive breast cancer and has no effect on the incidence of ER-negative breast cancer. A comparison of the overall results with raloxifene, the NSABP prevention trial, and the small chemoprevention studies with tamoxifen is shown in Fig. 13Go. It should be pointed out that the data from the raloxifene study really represent three groups: one placebo control and two doses of raloxifene, 60 and 120 mg daily. Since the raloxifene data are pooled and represented in the abstracts as a percent of control, the events that can be calculated are artificially high. A more accurate representation of total events would be 30 (control), 15 (60 mg raloxifene daily), and 15 (120 mg raloxifene daily) for all reported invasive and noninvasive cancers at 3 yr. Clearly, these are small numbers compared with the NSABP study. However, the result with raloxifene is strong preliminary data as a basis for the STAR trial, which compares tamoxifen, the standard of care, with the test drug raloxifene in women with a high-risk for breast cancer (see Section IX).



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Figure 13. A comparison of the able-to-be-evaluated events observed in the studies to reduce the incidence of breast cancer. The NSABP P-1 trial is the only prospective clinical trial designed to test the worth of an antiestrogen to prevent breast cancer in 13,388 high-risk women. The figure illustrates the effect of tamoxifen on both invasive and noninvasive (ductal carcinoma in situ DCIS) breast cancer. By contrast, the Royal Marsden Study is a pilot project (209 ) originally designed to be a toxicity evaluation (211 ) in 2,471 high-risk women, and the Italian study reports (210 ) at least one year’s data from an original population of 5,408 young women of normal risk. Finally, the raloxifene data that can only be estimated from published abstracts (240 241 ), constitute a secondary end point from 10,553 postmenopausal women in osteoporosis trials. The reported cases are both invasive and noninvasive breast cancers.

 
B. Bones
Raloxifene can maintain bone density in ovariectomized rats (Fig. 12Go) (28, 242, 243, 244, 245, 246, 247, 248). Urinary pyridinoline and serum osteocalcin are elevated after ovariectomy, but the elevations are reduced by raloxifene, thus indicating that raloxifene inhibits bone loss by reducing bone resorption (243). In general, raloxifene does not maintain bone density in the ovariectomized rat to the level observed in an intact animal (242), but efficacy appears equivalent to estrogen treatment although without increases in uterine weight (242).

Preliminary studies in 251 normal postmenopausal women randomized to placebo, raloxifene (200 mg daily), raloxifene (600 mg daily), or Premarin (Wyeth-Ayerst Laboratories, Inc., Philadelphia, PA; 0.625 mg daily) show decreases in serum alkaline phosphatase, serum osteocalcin, urinary pyridinoline, and urinary calcium excretion with raloxifene that was no different than estrogen (249). However, the doses of raloxifene are far higher than the 60 mg/day currently recommended for the prevention of osteoporosis. Evaluation of raloxifene, 60 mg/day, on bone remodeling in early postmenopausal woman, using calcium tracer kinetic methods, found that although remodeling suppression was greater for estrogen, the remodeling balance was the same for the two agents (250). The authors concluded that raloxifene acted on bone as an estrogen agonist. Indeed, these results are consistent with the finding that raloxifene increases bone density by 2.4 ± 0.4% in the lumber spine and 2.4 ± 0.4% for the total hip (251). Although the percent increases in bone density are not as high as would be anticipated with estrogen or bisphosphonates, it is now clear that raloxifene produces a 40% decrease in spine fractures. There are, however, no reports of a significant decrease in hip fractures with raloxifene. This contrasts with the 50% decrease noted with tamoxifen in the prevention study (141) and adds further support for the need to compare and contrast the clinical endocrinology of tamoxifen and raloxifene in the STAR trial (see Section IX).

C. Lipids
Raloxifene produces a significant decrease in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, but high-density lipoprotein cholesterol remains the same (249, 251, 252). Additionally, triglycerides do not rise during raloxifene treatment. Laboratory data from the rabbit (253) strongly support the value of raloxifene to prevent atherosclerosis. However, data from primates fed high-cholesterol diets do not show a benefit for raloxifene (254). These results have proved to be controversial (255), as both hormone replacement therapy and tamoxifen show positive results in the primate model. To address the issue directly, a prospective randomized clinical trial is in place to address the question of whether raloxifene has merit for the reduction of risk for coronary heart disease in postmenopausal women with elevated risk factors. The study, referred to as Raloxifene Use for The Heart (RUTH), will randomize 10,000 high-risk women to placebo or raloxifene (60 mg daily) treatment for 5 yr. Results should be available by 2005.

D. Uterus
Raloxifene and its analogs have low estrogen-like actions in the rat uterus (227, 229, 230, 231). Indeed, the raloxifene analog LY117018 is able to block (at high doses) the estrogen-like effect of tamoxifen on the rat uterus (231). However, raloxifene and its analogs cannot be classified as pure antiestrogens in these tests. There is not a complete lack of uterotropic properties (256, 257), and estrogen-regulated genes, such as the PgR, are partially activated (232). Also, mechanistically raloxifene cannot be described as a pure antiestrogen (117).

Raloxifene is receiving a rigorous evaluation in the human uterus. This is important because the drug is used to prevent osteoporosis. A current evaluation in women screened to ensure the absence of preexisting endometrial abnormalities shows that raloxifene, unlike estrogen, does not increase endometrial thickness (258). Although there is not enough information to prove that raloxifene reduces the incidence of endometrial cancer in treated women, there is no evidence to suggest that raloxifene increases the risk for endometrial cancer. Raloxifene does have less estrogenicity in the uterus than tamoxifen, and it only increases the growth of human endometrial carcinomas under laboratory conditions by about 50% of that noted with tamoxifen (259). This, coupled with the preliminary data with raloxifene as a potential preventive for breast cancer in elderly woman (239, 240, 241), is sufficient to propose testing against the current standard of care, tamoxifen.


    IX. Study of Tamoxifen And Raloxifene (STAR)
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
The STAR trial is a phase III, double-blind trial that will assign eligible postmenopausal women to either daily tamoxifen (20 mg orally) or raloxifene (60 mg orally) therapy for 5 yr. Trial participants will also complete a minimum of two additional years of follow-up after therapy is stopped.

The STAR trial’s primary aim is to determine whether long-term raloxifene therapy is effective in preventing the occurrence of invasive breast cancer in postmenopausal women who are identified as being at high risk for the disease. The comparison is to be made to the established drug, tamoxifen. Its secondary aim is to establish the net effect of raloxifene therapy, by a comparison of cardiovascular data, fracture data, and general toxicities with tamoxifen. It is clear that the activation or suppression of various target sites around a woman’s body is similar for tamoxifen and raloxifene, but an evaluation of the overall comparative benefits of the agents will be an important new clinical data base for raloxifene in postmenopausal women.

Premenopausal women at risk for breast cancer are, currently, not eligible for the STAR trial. Although there is extensive information about the efficacy of tamoxifen in premenopausal breast cancer patients (84) and women at risk for breast cancer (141), clinical experience with raloxifene is confined to monitoring the action of the drug in postmenopausal women. Raloxifene is classified as an antiestrogen with less estrogen-like actions than tamoxifen (229, 230, 231). However, tamoxifen has been shown to produce a small decrease in bone density in premenopausal women (142), and there is concern that raloxifene might produce greater decreases in bone density. The National Cancer Institute is currently conducting a randomized study of raloxifene (60 mg daily and 300 mg daily) in high-risk premenopausal women to address the issue of raloxifene and bone density. Additionally, short-term raloxifene treatment (5 days or 28 days) causes elevations in circulating estradiol but does not prevent ovulation (260), consistent with the known elevation of steroid hormones produced by tamoxifen in premenopausal breast cancer patients (261). The changes in endocrine function produced by raloxifene will also be assessed as a prelude to the recruitment of premenopausal high-risk women to the STAR trial.

The results from the STAR are anticipated by 2006. Clearly it will be invaluable to establish the overall benefits of the drugs with regard to breast cancer incidence, coronary heart disease, and osteoporosis. The comparisons of endometrial cancer will be most instructive because the standard of care, i.e., self-reporting, will be employed in the STAR trial rather than routine screening with annual biopsies.


    X. The Future of Prevention
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
The concept of the chemoprevention of cancer was proposed in the mid-1970s by Sporn and colleagues (262, 263). Essentially, effective implementation of the strategy requires a target to prevent either the initiation or the promotion of the cancer cell (or both). The key to success is, therefore, a well defined target so that a selective action can be applied without general toxicity. The idea that breast cancer could be prevented was first proposed by Lacassagne (7) in 1936. He suggested that an antagonist to estrogen action could prevent the disease. The target became the ER (22), but serendipitously the antiestrogens tamoxifen and raloxifene, which block breast cancer cell growth, were also found to modulate the physiological requirements for estrogen action selectively at other target sites (28, 29, 30).

The major clinical question for the current application of tamoxifen as a chemopreventive is when should the 5-yr course be taken and how long will the effects last to protect a woman at elevated risk for breast cancer? The simple answer to the first part of the question is that a woman who is found to fit the elevated risk criteria for breast cancer will receive benefit through a 55% risk reduction whenever she takes tamoxifen. However, since there are no rules that can define when a woman will develop breast cancer if she is found to be at risk, then earlier rather than later would seem to be the appropriate strategy. The answer to the duration of benefit part of the question is less clear, but there are clues that indicate that 5 yr of tamoxifen therapy results in protection, i.e., risk reduction, for at least 5 yr after the drug is stopped, based on the data about contralateral breast cancer from the Overview Analysis (84). At this time, further follow-up is not available. Clearly, it will be important to discover the mechanism for the long-term beneficial effects of tamoxifen as a chemopreventive, as this could be exploited further. Similar questions about the optimal duration of raloxifene therapy for prevention will need to be addressed in the future. In the case of raloxifene, this is not as important an issue because long-term therapy for the prevention of osteoporosis is necessary.

Finally, there is the issue of whether 5 yr of tamoxifen will be sufficient for prolonged protection from breast cancer, or whether longer durations of initial treatment will provide longer periods of protection. For example, after 10 or 15 yr of treatment can a woman get 20 yr of risk reduction? However, there is a reluctance to consider this type of clinical experiment at present because of a concern about the development of tamoxifen-stimulated primary breast cancer. The concern comes from the literature about breast cancer treatment. Although 10 yr of adjuvant tamoxifen appears to be less effective than 5 yr for the treatment of breast cancer (264), this is not useful evidence to support the restricted application of tamoxifen as a chemopreventive. Drug resistance by metastatic breast cancer cells can probably develop much more rapidly than can occur during the process of carcinogenesis for primary breast cancer. As a result, it may be important to evaluate longer durations of tamoxifen as a chemopreventive agent in clinical trial. Be that as it may, the challenge for the present is first to establish the efficacy of raloxifene compared with tamoxifen in the STAR trial, and then to determine the optimal application of SERMs as a new drug group for the benefit of women’s health.

Finally, a new generation of agents that are specifically designed to modulate ER{alpha} and -ß selectively will become available for clinical testing within the next decade. A number of postmenopausal diseases will be targeted, such as osteoporosis and coronary heart disease, but the beneficial side effects should include a reduction in uterine and breast cancer in the general population. The present reduction of breast cancer in high-risk women by 50% is an important first step that has resulted from the rational application of translational research. The challenge for the future is to apply developing laboratory knowledge about the mechanisms of carcinogenesis to prevent breast cancer completely.


    Dedication and Acknowledgment
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 
Our article is dedicated to Professor Elwood V. Jensen of the Karolinska Research Institute, Stockholm, Sweden, who identified the estrogen receptor as a target that made the prevention of breast cancer a practical possibility. We thank Gloria Duncan for typing the manuscript and Alexander de los Reyes for preparing the figures.


    Footnotes
 
Address reprint requests to: V. Craig Jordan, Ph.D., D.Sc., Director, Lynn Sage Breast Cancer Research Program, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Olson Pavilion 8258, 303 E. Chicago Avenue, Chicago, Illinois 60611 USA.

1 Supported by the generosity of the Lynn Sage Breast Cancer Research Foundation of Northwestern Memorial Hospital. Back


    References
 Top
 Abstract
 I. Introduction
 II. Lacassagne’s...
 III. Tamoxifen as an...
 IV. Selective ER Modulation
 V. Biological Basis for...
 VI. Risk Factors for...
 VII. Prevention of Breast...
 VIII. Biological Basis for...
 IX. Study of Tamoxifen...
 X. The Future of...
 Dedication and Acknowledgment
 References
 

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